Oregon

Marion County is home to the state's capital of Salem, and went for Trump by 2 points in 2024, after Biden had won the county in 2020. Trump managed to make gains amongst the county's Hispanic population, and winning most of the areas outside of the Salem proper propelled him to victory

Wasco County used to be much more competitive during the Obama years, but since the onset of the Trump era, Republicans have consistently managed narrow wins here. Trump's 2024 run saw him carry Wasco by 6 points, only losing precincts in The Dalles, Chenoweth, and the Native-populous southwest to Kamala Harris